Home MagazineBusinessHow CHINA Dominates Naija’s Economy

How CHINA Dominates Naija’s Economy

by City People

For years, China’s presence in Nigeria was largely associated with cheap consumer goods, electronics, motorcycles, textiles and household products.  Today, the story has changed. It is dramatically different. China is no longer merely the country where Nigerians buy the products they consume. Chinese companies are increasingly involved in the infrastructure Nigerians use, the factories producing goods locally, the telecommunications equipment powering digital communications, the railways transporting passengers and cargo, the ports handling international trade and the financing of some major infrastructure projects.

The scale of the relationship is becoming impossible to ignore. In the first half of 2026 alone, Nigeria imported goods worth N11.01 trillion from China, representing about 39.27 per cent of Nigeria’s total imports of N28.04 trillion. In other words, almost four out of every 10 naira Nigeria spent on imported goods during the period went to products originating from China.

China also remained Nigeria’s largest individual trading partner in the second quarter of 2026, with bilateral trade valued at about N6.42 trillion during the quarter. Nigerian imports from China were N5.92 trillion, while exports to China were about N506.57 billion, producing a bilateral trade deficit of roughly N5.41 trillion for that quarter. And the relationship is growing by the day.

On September 23, 2026, Chinese Ambassador to Nigeria Yu Dunhai said bilateral trade had reached $18 billion in the first half of 2026, representing a 35 per cent increase from the previous year. He also said Chinese imports from Nigeria rose by 81 per cent during the period.

These numbers tell only part of the story.  The real Chinese influence can be seen in the structure of Nigeria’s economy. The most visible evidence of China’s economic power is Nigeria’s import market. From Lagos markets to electronics shops in Computer Village, spare-parts markets, building-material outlets and online stores, Chinese products are everywhere. China supplies Nigeria with a remarkably broad range of products, including telecommunications equipment, machinery, motorcycles, solar equipment, industrial materials, PVC products, agricultural machinery, household goods and other manufactured products.

In 2025, Nigeria imported approximately N19.79 trillion worth of goods from China, while exports to China were about N2.78 trillion. That produced a Chinese trade deficit of approximately N17.01 trillion for Nigeria. This imbalance is one of the most important features of Nigeria-China economic relations.

Nigeria largely sells China commodities and raw materials, while buying a much wider range of manufactured products. Among Nigeria’s exports to China are sesame seeds, tin ores, natural rubber, leather and other mineral products. China, on the other hand, sells Nigeria machinery, telecommunications equipment, motorcycles, PVC products, solar panels and agricultural machinery, among many other manufactured goods. The implication is significant. China is deeply embedded in the Nigerian supply chain.

A disruption in Chinese manufacturing or shipping can therefore quickly affect Nigerian traders, importers, manufacturers, construction companies and consumers. Perhaps the biggest change in the relationship is that Chinese companies are no longer content simply to manufacture in China and ship finished products to Nigeria. Increasingly, they are setting up factories in Nigeria.

One of the major centres of this activity is Ogun State. The Ogun Guangdong Free Trade Zone has become a major platform for Chinese-Nigerian industrial cooperation. In 2025, the Chinese Embassy described the zone as an important centre for Chinese enterprises and industrial cooperation, with Chinese companies operating production facilities there.

The Chinese ambassador also described Ogun as a leading host of Chinese enterprises in Nigeria. Reports in 2025 said the Ogun Guangdong Free Trade Zone housed more than 100 companies. This is important because it changes the nature of China’s economic relationship with Nigeria. Instead of simply importing Chinese products, Nigeria is increasingly becoming a production base for Chinese-linked companies.

The potential benefits include jobs, local production, technology transfer and reduced dependence on imports. But there is another side. The more Nigerian industries depend on Chinese machinery, components, financing, technical expertise and supply chains, the deeper the economic interdependence becomes.

China’s influence becomes even more visible when Nigeria’s infrastructure is examined. Chinese companies have become major participants in the construction of roads, railways, ports, power projects and other infrastructure. Companies such as China Civil Engineering Construction Corporation (CCECC), China Harbour Engineering Company (CHEC), China State Construction Engineering Corporation and other Chinese contractors have participated in major Nigerian projects.

Nigeria’s Federal Ministry of Information reported in 2025 that companies including CCECC, CHEC, CBC and CGC were involved in various road and infrastructure projects in Nigeria. President Bola Tinubu has also publicly acknowledged CCECC and its parent company, China Railway Construction Corporation, as important partners in Nigeria’s rail development. This means that China’s economic presence is not confined to shops and markets.

It is literally built into parts of Nigeria’s physical infrastructure. Nigeria’s railway revival provides one of the clearest examples. The Lagos-Ibadan railway and other major railway projects have involved Chinese construction companies and Chinese financing. The Kaduna-Kano railway is another major example.

In January 2025, China Development Bank released approximately $254.76 million to support the Kaduna-Kano railway project, a 203-kilometre standard-gauge railway forming part of Nigeria’s broader rail network. The project is being constructed by CCECC and is associated with China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

The importance of these projects goes beyond transportation. Railways connect farms to markets. They connect factories to ports. They connect northern Nigeria to Abuja and the southern commercial centres. And when a foreign country provides financing, engineering expertise, equipment and construction companies for strategic infrastructure, its economic relationship with the country naturally becomes deeper. The Lekki Deep Sea Port is another powerful example.

The port is one of the most significant infrastructure developments in Nigeria’s maritime sector. China Harbour Engineering Company was the engineering, procurement and construction contractor for the project. According to the Nigerian Ports Authority, the project was developed under a public-private partnership, with the Federal Government holding 5 per cent, Lagos State 20 per cent and private investors 75 per cent. China Harbour Engineering was the EPC contractor.

The port has strategic importance because it is designed to handle large container vessels and expand Nigeria’s capacity to participate in international maritime trade. The Chinese role therefore extends from manufacturing products for Nigeria to helping build the infrastructure through which those products — and Nigerian exports — move. China’s influence is not based only on trade and construction. Financing is another major pillar.

Nigeria has borrowed from Chinese financial institutions for infrastructure projects over the years. The Debt Management Office’s June 2025 data showed Nigeria owed approximately $4.91 billion to China’s Exim Bank and about $423.83 million to China Development Bank. Together, those Chinese bilateral debts were about $5.33 billion at that point. However, the numbers also provide an important perspective. China is a major bilateral creditor, but Chinese loans do not constitute the majority of Nigeria’s external debt. The DMO’s June 2025 figures show multilateral creditors accounted for 49.36 per cent of external debt, commercial creditors 36.86 per cent, while bilateral creditors accounted for 13.21 per cent.

So the argument that “China owns Nigeria because Nigeria owes China money” would be an exaggeration. The more accurate point is that Chinese financing has become strategically important in selected sectors, particularly infrastructure. The road sector provides another example of this growing relationship.

In May 2025, Nigeria approved a $652 million China Exim Bank financing package for a road corridor designed to move goods from the Lekki Deep Sea Port and the Dangote Refinery to various southern states. This is strategically important. Think about the chain: Chinese financing ’! Chinese engineering/construction expertise ’! Nigerian roads ’! Nigerian port ’! Nigerian refinery ’! Nigerian factories and markets.

The relationship therefore increasingly connects several parts of the Nigerian economy. One of China’s most important contributions to Nigeria is less visible because Nigerians do not necessarily see the infrastructure behind their phones and internet connections. Chinese technology companies have become major players in Nigeria’s telecommunications and digital infrastructure. Huawei, for example, has operated in Nigeria for many years. Chinese technology companies have participated in telecommunications infrastructure, digital networks, data systems, security technology and other technology-related projects.

The Federal Government’s 2023 engagement with Chinese technology companies included meetings with Huawei and other Chinese firms covering communications, technology, railway and power projects. Huawei was also identified as technical partner in Nigeria’s Customs Modernisation Project, alongside Africa Finance Corporation as lead financier. The project was designed as a major technology-driven modernisation initiative for Nigeria Customs. This illustrates another dimension of Chinese influence.

China is not simply selling Nigeria physical products. It is increasingly involved in the technological infrastructure supporting government and business operations. If Nigerians want to see China’s industrial footprint physically, Ogun State offers one of the clearest examples. The Ogun Guangdong Free Trade Zone has become a major meeting point between Nigerian industrial ambitions and Chinese manufacturing capital.

The zone has attracted Chinese companies involved in manufacturing and industrial production, while Ogun’s government has actively courted additional Chinese investment. In 2025, Ogun State officials travelled to China as part of efforts to attract additional investments and deepen economic cooperation with Chinese provinces and companies.

The state’s strategy reflects a broader Nigerian reality: Nigerian governments at federal and state levels increasingly see Chinese capital as a source of factories, infrastructure, employment and technology. The Chinese footprint is also moving into Nigeria’s steel ambitions.

In October 2025, the Federal Ministry of Steel Development announced a strategic cooperation agreement involving Stellar Steel Company Limited, whose major investment backing came from Chinese parent groups Galaxy Group and RSIN Group. The company committed approximately $450 million to a steel plant project in Ogun State, with the stated objective of increasing local steel production and reducing dependence on imported steel.

If such projects reach full production, they could change the nature of Nigeria-China trade. Instead of importing more finished steel products from China, Nigeria could increasingly produce some goods locally with Chinese capital and technology. That is potentially a major shift. The explanation for China’s growing influence is relatively straightforward.

Nigeria needs infrastructure. Nigeria needs factories. Nigeria needs technology. Nigeria needs affordable consumer goods. Nigeria needs roads and railways.  Nigeria needs investment. Nigeria needs industrial equipment. And China has enormous capacity to supply all of these. China has become one of the world’s major manufacturing and infrastructure powers. For Nigeria, therefore, the attraction is obvious.

Chinese companies can offer financing, construction expertise, equipment, engineering services and manufacturing investment at a scale that is difficult to ignore. This explains why successive Nigerian administrations have maintained strong relations with Beijing. The relationship is not a one-way Chinese charity project. China also needs Nigeria. Nigeria is Africa’s most populous country and one of the continent’s largest markets.

For Chinese manufacturers, Nigeria offers hundreds of millions of potential consumers and a gateway to the wider West African market. Nigeria also possesses enormous quantities of natural resources and agricultural commodities.  China’s growing demand for African raw materials fits naturally into Nigeria’s export ambitions.

The result is a classic economic relationship: Nigeria needs Chinese capital, technology, infrastructure and manufactured goods. China needs Nigerian markets, raw materials, investment opportunities and strategic access to Africa. The biggest problem is  that Nigeria sells too little to China. This is where the relationship becomes controversial. Nigeria buys substantially more from China than it sells to China.

The 2025 figures demonstrate the imbalance clearly. Nigeria exported about N2.78 trillion worth of goods to China but imported approximately N19.79 trillion from China — producing a deficit of about N17.01 trillion. That raises a fundamental economic question: Is Nigeria using its relationship with China to industrialise, or simply becoming a larger market for Chinese manufacturers? The answer will depend heavily on what happens next. If Chinese investment creates factories in Nigeria, employs Nigerians, transfers technology and helps Nigerian companies enter export markets, the relationship could support industrialisation.

But if Nigeria continues importing finished products while exporting mostly raw materials, the trade imbalance could remain a structural weakness. Another reason Chinese products dominate Nigeria’s economy is price. For millions of Nigerians, affordability matters more than country of origin. Chinese manufacturers operate at enormous scale and have developed supply chains capable of producing everything from electronics to machinery at highly competitive prices.

For Nigerian consumers struggling with inflation and declining purchasing power, cheap imported products can provide an important economic advantage. For Nigerian manufacturers, however, the situation is more complicated. Local manufacturers sometimes have to compete against imported goods produced at enormous scale.  This creates a difficult policy balance: How does Nigeria protect local industry without making basic goods unaffordable? That remains one of the biggest questions surrounding Nigeria’s relationship with China. China’s economic influence is also supported by a growing Chinese business community in Nigeria.

Chinese entrepreneurs and companies operate across manufacturing, construction, logistics, trading, telecommunications, engineering and other sectors. The concentration is particularly visible in industrial zones. The Ogun Guangdong Free Trade Zone is one example, while Lagos remains another major centre of Chinese commercial activity. Chinese business networks can therefore operate across the entire economic chain: Factory ’! importer ’! wholesaler ’! retailer ’! consumer. That is a powerful commercial ecosystem.

Many Chinese infrastructure projects around the world are associated with the Belt and Road Initiative. Nigeria has participated in this wider Chinese infrastructure and connectivity framework. The Kaduna-Kano railway, for example, has been identified as part of the Belt and Road Initiative. The underlying philosophy is straightforward: better infrastructure creates better connectivity, which creates more trade.

For China, that can create markets for Chinese engineering companies, construction firms, equipment manufacturers and financial institutions. For Nigeria, the attraction is access to infrastructure that the government may otherwise struggle to finance and construct quickly. This is where both countries’ interests intersect. What is Nigeria getting in return for giving China such a large role in its economy?  There are two possible versions of the future.

In one version, Chinese investment helps Nigeria build factories, railways, ports, technology infrastructure and industrial capacity. Nigerians acquire skills, local companies become suppliers, exports increase and Nigeria gradually produces more of what it currently imports.

In another version, Nigeria remains primarily a consumer market — buying Chinese manufactured products, borrowing Chinese money for infrastructure and exporting raw materials while local manufacturing struggles to compete. The difference will not be determined by China alone. It will depend largely on Nigerian economic policy. China’s rise in Nigeria is no longer simply the story of “Made in China” products flooding Nigerian markets.

It is now the story of Chinese companies building infrastructure, financing projects, establishing factories, supplying technology, constructing railways, participating in port development and becoming deeply embedded in Nigeria’s commercial ecosystem. The statistics are striking. China supplied roughly 39 per cent of Nigeria’s imports in the first half of 2026. Bilateral trade was reported by China’s ambassador at $18 billion in the first half of 2026. China was Nigeria’s largest individual trading partner in the second quarter of 2026. Nigeria’s Chinese bilateral debt was about $5.33 billion in the DMO’s June 2025 data.

Chinese companies are deeply involved in major infrastructure and industrial projects across the country. So, while it would be inaccurate to say China literally controls Nigeria’s economy, it is increasingly difficult to discuss Nigeria’s trade, infrastructure, manufacturing, technology and industrial development without discussing China.

The next chapter of the relationship will therefore be critical. Will Nigeria remain primarily one of China’s biggest African markets — or will it use China’s capital, technology and industrial expertise to become a stronger manufacturing and export economy of its own?

 

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